27
USCB Financial Holdings, Inc.
2023 10-K
A failure or the perceived
risk of a failure to raise
the statutory debt limit
of the U.S. in the future
could have a
material adverse effect on our business, financial
condition and results of operations
.
Ongoing
U.S.
debt
ceiling
and
budget
deficit
concerns
have
increased
the
possibility
of
additional
credit-rating
downgrades
and
economic
slowdowns,
or
a
recession
in
the
United
States.
Although
U.S.
lawmakers
have
passed
legislation
in the
past to
raise the
federal debt
ceiling
on multiple
occasions,
including
the most
recent
increase
in June
2023, ratings agencies have lowered or threatened to lower the long-term sovereign credit rating on the United States. The
impact of this or any further
downgrades to the U.S. government’s
sovereign credit rating or its
perceived creditworthiness
could adversely affect the U.S. and global financial markets and economic conditions. Absent further quantitative easing by
the Federal
Reserve,
these
developments
could
cause
interest rates
and borrowing
costs
to rise,
which
may negatively
impact our
ability to
access
the debt
markets on
favorable terms.
In addition,
disagreement over
the federal
budget has
caused the U.S. federal government to shut down for periods of time. Continued adverse
political and economic conditions
could have a material adverse effect on our business,
financial condition and results of operations.
Our allowance for credit losses may not be sufficient
to absorb potential losses in our loan portfolio.
We
maintain
an
allowance
for
credit
losses
that
represents
management's
judgment
of
probable
losses
and
risks
inherent in our loan portfolio.
The level of the allowance
reflects management's continuing
evaluation of general economic
conditions,
present
political
and
regulatory
conditions,
diversification
and
seasoning
of
the
loan
portfolio,
historic
loss
experience, identified credit
problems, delinquency levels
and adequacy of
collateral. Determining the
appropriate level of
our
allowance
for
credit
losses
involves
a
degree
of
subjective
judgment
and
requires
management
to
make
significant
estimates of and assumptions regarding current credit risks
and future trends, all of which may undergo material changes.
Inaccurate
management
assumptions,
deterioration
of
economic
conditions
affecting
borrowers,
new
negative
information
regarding
existing
loans,
identification
of
additional
problem
loans
or deterioration
of existing
problem
loans,
and
other
factors
(including
third-party
review
and
analysis),
both
within
and
outside
of
our
control,
may
require
us
to
increase our allowance for
credit losses. In addition,
our regulators, as an
integral part of their
periodic examinations, review
our methodology for calculating, and
the adequacy of, our allowance
for credit losses and may
direct us to make additions
to the allowance
based on their
judgments about
information available to
them at the
time of their
examination. Further,
if
actual charge-offs in future
periods exceed the
amounts allocated to
our allowance for
credit losses, we
may need additional
provisions for credit losses to restore
the adequacy of our allowance for
credit losses. Finally, the measure of our allowance
for credit losses depends on the
adoption and interpretation of accounting
standards. The Financial Accounting
Standards
Board, or FASB, issued a new credit
impairment model, the Current Expected Credit Loss,
or CECL model, which became
applicable
to
us
on
January
1,
2023.
CECL
requires
financial
institutions
to
estimate
and
develop
a
provision
for
credit
losses over the lifetime of the loan at origination, as opposed to reserving for incurred or probable
losses up to the balance
sheet date. Under the CECL
model, expected credit deterioration
will be reflected in the
income statement in the
period of
origination or acquisition of a loan,
with changes in expected credit losses
due to further credit deterioration or
improvement
reflected in
the periods
in which
the expectation
changes. Accordingly,
implementation of
the CECL
model could
require
financial institutions, like us, to
increase our allowances for
credit losses from levels in place
prior to the implementation of
CECL. As a result of the initial implementation of CECL,
we incurred as of January 1, 2023 a $1.1
million cumulative effect
of the adoption
of CECL. Moreover,
the CECL model
may create more volatility
in our level
of allowance for
credit losses.
If we
are required
to materially
increase our
level of
allowance for
credit losses
for any
reason, such
increase could
adversely
affect our business, prospects, cash flow,
liquidity, financial
condition and results of operations.
Our commercial loan portfolio may expose us to increased
credit risk.
Commercial business
and real
estate loans
generally have
a higher
risk of
loss because
loan balances
are typically
larger
than
residential
real
estate
and
consumer
loans
and
repayment
is
usually
dependent
on
cash
flows
from
the
borrower’s business or the
property securing the loan. Our
commercial business loans are primarily made
to small business
and middle market customers. These loans typically
involve repayment that depends upon income
generated, or expected
to be generated, by the property securing the loan and/or
by the cash flow generated by the business borrower and
may be
adversely affected by changes in the economy or
local market conditions. These loans expose a
lender to the risk of having
to liquidate the collateral securing
these loans at times when
there may be significant fluctuation
of commercial real estate
values or to the
risk of inadequate cash flows to
service the commercial loans. Unexpected deterioration in
the credit quality
of our
commercial business
and/or real
estate loan
portfolio could
require us
to increase
our allowance
for credit
losses,
which would
reduce our
profitability and
could have
an adverse
effect on
our business,
financial condition,
and results
of
operations.
Commercial construction loans generally
have a higher risk of
loss due to the assumptions
used to estimate the value
of property
at completion
and the
cost of
the project,
including interest.
It can
be difficult
to accurately
evaluate the
total